Apple’s ‘Surprise and Shine’ Event: The iPhone Ultra, the Missing Base Model, and a New Era Under John Ternus

Today marks one of the most anticipated product showcases in Cupertino’s recent history: Apple’s annual autumn event, aptly titled ‘Surprise and Shine.’ Broadcast live from Apple Park and kicking off at 10:00 AM PT / 6:00 PM BST, this year’s keynote promises to break long-standing traditions.

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Not only does the presentation arrive under the fresh leadership of new CEO John Ternus—who officially stepped into the role last week following Tim Cook’s departure—but it is also expected to upend Apple’s hardware roadmap. Industry insiders and supply chain leaks point to the long-awaited debut of Apple’s first-ever foldable smartphone, the iPhone Ultra, a radical camera overhaul for the iPhone 18 Pro, and a startling omission: the absence of a standard baseline iPhone 18 in the autumn lineup.

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Main Facts: What to Expect from the Keynote

The headline act of today’s event is undeniably the foldable smartphone market entry, widely rumored to be branded as the iPhone Ultra. Moving past years of incremental updates, Apple is poised to enter the folding arena with a device aimed directly at power users, creatives, and early adopters.

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However, the hardware shifts do not stop there:

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  • The Folding iPhone Ultra: Expected to feature an almost invisible 0.15mm crease, a durable liquid metal hinge, and a dual-layer ultra-thin glass panel. Pricing is rumored to start at a staggering $2,000.
  • iPhone 18 Pro Upgrades: Featuring an advanced 2-nanometre A20 Pro chip, standard 12GB of RAM for on-device AI operations, and a mechanical variable-aperture camera system tailored for professional photographers. It is also rumored to introduce a striking new ‘Cherry Red’ colorway.
  • The Missing iPhone 18: In an unprecedented break from a tradition dating back to the inception of the iPhone, Apple is reportedly holding back the base-level iPhone 18 until early next year.
  • Apple Watch Series 12 & Ultra 4: A "chip and ship" generation focused on internal silicon upgrades and expanded continuous health-monitoring features rather than a physical redesign.
  • AirPods 5: A routine internal refresh featuring the anticipated H3 chip, while camera-equipped AirPods remain delayed until closer to 2027.

Chronology: The Road to the ‘Surprise and Shine’ Event

The build-up to today’s event has played out across months of escalating leaks, supply chain whispers, and strategic shifts in Cupertino.

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The Eve of the Keynote (September 8, 2026)

  • 11:00 AM – 1:00 PM: Leaks surrounding the iPhone 18 Pro dominate the tech sphere. Reports indicate that TSMC’s 2nm manufacturing process and advanced packaging methods will drive production costs—and retail prices—up by as much as $200. Concurrently, industry analysts confirm that Apple will break tradition by omitting a standard iPhone 18 from today’s launch window, leaving the heavily upgraded iPhone 17 to carry the baseline market into next year.
  • 2:00 PM – 4:00 PM: Physical therapists and ergonomics experts raise cautionary flags regarding the rumored iPhone Ultra. Analysts warn that the added weight and altered grip mechanics of a foldable device could introduce repetitive strain injuries, colloquially dubbed "thumb fatigue," building on complaints already common among Samsung Galaxy Fold users.
  • 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM: Discussion turns to the competitive landscape. Apple enters a mature foldable market dominated by Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold8 Ultra and Google’s Pixel 10 Pro Fold. Meanwhile, accessory maker leaks—such as accidental promotional renders from brands like Burga—provide clearer looks at the foldable’s exterior profile just hours before the live stream.

Event Day (September 9, 2026)

  • 9:12 AM: Apple’s live-blogging teams kick off coverage, tracking final-hour dummy models and retail placeholder leaks.
  • 9:50 AM: Social media traffic spikes as accessory manufacturers prematurely publish promotional imagery of the iPhone Ultra.
  • 10:19 AM: Reports confirm that AirPods 5 will see a routine, iterative launch, dampening rumors of immediate camera-integrated smart audio devices.
  • 10:00 AM PT / 6:00 PM BST: The livestream commences globally across Apple’s official website, YouTube channel, and the Apple TV app, with newly minted CEO John Ternus taking the stage.

Supporting Data & Market Analysis

Apple’s entry into the foldable market comes at a time when consumer expectations and hardware capabilities have evolved significantly.

Apple iPhone 18 event LIVE: Folding iPhone, new AirPods and more – every announcement as it happens

The Competitive Landscape for Foldables

Apple faces stiff, mature competition in 2026:

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  1. Samsung Galaxy Z Fold8 Ultra: The current gold standard for broad ecosystem support, multi-window multitasking, and a refined book-style hinge.
  2. Google Pixel 10 Pro Fold: Leads the software space with advanced generative AI and computational photography integration.
  3. Honor Magic V6 & Huawei Mate XT Ultimate: Pushing structural boundaries with extreme thinness and, in Huawei’s case, an unwieldy 10.2-inch tri-fold screen.

Addressing the Crease

Apple’s strategy of arriving late to emerging hardware categories has historically allowed the company to solve primary user pain points. For foldables, that pain point has always been the visible and tactile screen crease. Reports indicate that Apple has engineered a solution utilizing a liquid metal hinge that distributes bending tension evenly, paired with a graduated ultra-thin glass panel. The resulting crease is projected to measure an industry-low 0.15mm in depth.

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Official Responses and Internal Perspectives

The transition in Apple’s C-suite has injected fresh narrative energy into the brand. Following his appointment last week, new CEO John Ternus addressed Apple staff in an internal memo, describing this week’s product slate as "phenomenal."

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Ternus, who previously oversaw hardware engineering, is widely expected to steer the company toward bolder design philosophies. However, not all industry figures are entirely celebratory. The staggering $2,000 starting price point for the iPhone Ultra has drawn scrutiny from creative professionals, many of whom are questioning whether the combined form factor justifies bypassing the purchase of a standalone iPad and traditional iPhone.

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Furthermore, medical professionals have voiced concerns over ergonomic shifts. Speaking to Compare and Recycle, physical therapist Martin Ratcliffe noted:

Apple iPhone 18 event LIVE: Folding iPhone, new AirPods and more – every announcement as it happens

"After several hours of use, the continued strain from the added weight can lead to fatigue and increase tension on the tissues, particularly the tissue around the thumb… Overall, although the additional weight may be small, the repetitive strain and low-grade tension may lead to further stress and injury to surrounding tissues and joints."

Apple iPhone 18 event LIVE: Folding iPhone, new AirPods and more – every announcement as it happens

Strategic Implications for the Tech Industry

Apple iPhone 18 event LIVE: Folding iPhone, new AirPods and more – every announcement as it happens

The decisions made during today’s ‘Surprise and Shine’ event carry profound ripple effects across the entire consumer electronics sector.

Apple iPhone 18 event LIVE: Folding iPhone, new AirPods and more – every announcement as it happens

The Impact on Competitors (Especially Samsung)

For years, Samsung’s marketing strategy relied heavily on direct comparisons mocking Apple’s absence from the foldable market. Ironically, industry supply chain reports suggest that Samsung Display is a primary manufacturer of the panels used in the new iPhone Ultra. With Apple finally launching a folding device, Samsung must pivot its marketing messaging away from hardware absence and toward refinement and iteration.

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Pricing Pressures and Market Segmentation

By pricing the iPhone Ultra at an estimated $2,000 and pushing the iPhone 18 Pro up by upwards of $200 due to 2nm chip manufacturing costs and 12GB RAM requirements, Apple is signaling a definitive shift toward premium tier-uping. Simultaneously, withholding the base iPhone 18 until 2027 forces budget-conscious consumers to either invest in the aging iPhone 17 or stretch their finances to meet Apple’s higher-margin offerings.

Apple iPhone 18 event LIVE: Folding iPhone, new AirPods and more – every announcement as it happens

As John Ternus steps up to deliver his inaugural keynote, the tech world watches to see if Apple’s calculated delay in the foldable market will once again rewrite industry standards—or if the cost, weight, and design choices of the iPhone Ultra will spark a new debate over ergonomic practicality in modern mobile computing.

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